Stock markets continue to rise

Welcome back in my website.

Stock markets continue to raise. There is no novelty about that.

My forecasts told me that this behavior would have taken place in the near future.

I suspect that stock markets will reach an important top in December, but I need confirmation yet.

I will inform you.

Here are the previous cited graphics.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 21st of November 2014

 

Nasdaq stock index forecast updated on 21st of November 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 21th of November 2014

 

Sensex stock index forecast updated on 21st of November 2014

 

I am busy to find out good stocks to buy for both my free followers and my members, in this moment.

This report is short for this reason. You can look at the results of my portfolio in the tables here in the right column.

There is an imminent risk in this stock rally: interest rates in the bond market keep on going lower. I think that this is a dangerous signal. I think that this rally is a run up or an exhaustion rally that may anticipate an important fall.

Therefore, when I suggest buying a stock it is a medium term trade (until the end of December). It is not a long-term trade.

I think that that’s all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

Interest rates are going lower and lower

Welcome back in my website.

Last week, I said that I was waiting for a tiny correction of the stock markets.

This correction has taken place in a weak market like the Italian one (and other European week markets) and I think that it will take place in American markets in the next few days.

Remember that a 30-day cycle is arriving to its end for a date between the 20th and the 30th of November 2014.

I will wait until that minimum before giving new buy signals.

Let us look at my index forecasts.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 14th of November 2014

 

Nasdaq stock index forecast updated on 14th of November 2014

 

Sensex stock index forecast updated on 14th of November 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 14th of November 2014

 

I think that they are self-explaining. Stock market is about to go up after a short time correction. The stronger a market is, the shorter the correction will be (Indian market for instance).

I want to talk about interest rates this week because they are going lower and lower both in United States and in Europe. I want to talk about the 10-year Treasury note interest rate, in particular.

Here is its graphic.

 

10 year T bond interest rate updated on 14th of November 2014

 

Even if the stock market (S&P 500) has increased in value from June 2014 on, its speed of growth has lowered down. On the contrary, the speed of reduction of the value of the previous cited interest rate has increased. What does this mean? This means that the S&P 500 is overvalued at this level of price and from June 2014 on, a lot of money has left the stock market and it was invested in bonds.

I think that the last rally of the S&P 500 will go on until December of this year and then …. we will see what is going to happen.

Even if this is my long-term view, however, I suggested buying few very selected stocks in American and Indian markets, recently.

You can see the results in the tables post in the right column here.

Just to cite some few examples:

  • MNST: +10% (S&P 500 – for free members);
  • ABBV: +5% (S&P 500 – for paid membership);
  • MAR: +5% (S&P 500 – for paid membership);
  • TRF.BO: +26% (Sensex – for paid membership).

 

You can read here what I mean: read here.

Stay connected with me. Something very interesting is about to happen in the next few weeks.

I think that that’s all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

This trend is up because there are no sale volumes yet

Welcome back in my website.

Recently, we have understood that a new annual cycle has started in the middle of October 2014.

You have seen good volumes of accumulation in that period.

I do not see sale volumes on this top yet.

If I consider the S&P 500 index, this concept is self-explaining.

 

S&P 500 stock index updated on 7th of November 2014

 

As you can see, there are no sale volumes in place yet.

The 18-day momentum tells us that the S&P 500 is in an overbought area.

However, the Conjunction Indicator suggests that there is no shift of money now between the stock market and the bond market. Money that has entered the stock market in the middle of October is still there.

This reasoning indicates that the current trend in American stock market is still up.

This uptrend is even stronger for the Indian Sensex index.

As regards the European stock markets, we can divide them into two groups: the stronger ones (German, English markets etc.) and weak ones (Italian, Greek markets etc.).

Look at their forecasts here below.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 7th of November 2014

 

nasdaq stock index forecast updated on 7th of November 2014

 

Sensex stock index forecast updated on 7th of November 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 7th of November 2014

 

Those markets that are stronger now, will become stronger in the near future.

You can observe another thing for all these indices. A little downtrend movement is expected for the next few days.

In fact, a 15-day cycle is arriving to its end. A new 15-day cycle will start from that moment on and the current uptrend will continue.

There is no change in the tactics used so far to face the stock market.

I think that that’s all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

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