A new financial cycle has just started

Welcome back in my website.

An interesting thing happened last Friday. All the three indexes that I am watching  in this website closed higher than their 18-day simple moving average.

The Italian stock index broke above its moving average.

Look at the following charts.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 25th of July 2014

 

Nasdaq stock index forecast updated on 25th of July 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 25th of July 2014

 

This implies for me that a new 30-day cycle has just started and a new 70-day cycle has started too.

It is important in this moment to select good stocks to buy in both of these two markets.

This is my main duty in this moment.

What about the Treasury bond market? Let us consider the TMF etf.

If you look at sale volumes in the last two weeks, you can notice that the highest sale volume happened on the 17th of July 2014. That date correspond to the last bottom of the S&P 500. Nothing happens by chance in the stock market.

 

TMF etf updated on 25th of July 2014

 

You can observe that the highest sell volume anticipates the highest price. This happens 81% of times. It is a statistical rule.

Money went out from the bond market and it entered the stock market.

Reflect about it.

I keep on monitoring the stock market to look for strong stocks to buy.

Keep on following me.

That is all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

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A little distribution is happening

I want to write a little article today. As the title of this article suggests, American indexes are facing a little distribution now. I wait for a short correction of their value.

Look at the graphic of the S&P 500 and at the DAV indicator (distribution/accumulation weighted with volumes). It suggests that its price will decrease a little in the next days.

 

S&P 500 stock index updated on 18th of July 2014

 

However, the long-term forecast of this index stays the same. The current intermediate cycle arrives to its final bottom and a new cycle of the same length will start in few days.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 18th of July 2014

 

As regards the NASDAQ stock index, here is its distribution pattern and its forecast.

 

Nasdaq stock index updated on 18th of July 2014

 

Nasdaq stock index forecast updated on 18th of July 2014

 

As you can see, a similar behavior is expected.

Is there a confirmation that stock indexes have arrived near an important bottom?

I am used to observe the Italian stock index. Its forecast and historical data suggest that it has almost arrived to an important bottom. Then, it will increase in value very much as many other European stock indexes. I mean that money will flow inside stock markets both American and European ones, from that point on (end of July).

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 18th of July 2014

 

I think that this is the time to select good stocks to buy.

That is all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

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We are close to buying stocks consistently

Welcome back into my website.

The current situation of the stock indexes is the following.

European stock indexes are close to their annual cycle bottom. It is expected for the end of July.

Look at the Italian All Share Index, for instance.

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 11th of July 2014

 

As regards American stock indexes, they have already started a new yearly cycle from May 2014 on.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 11th of July 2014

 

Nasdaq stock index forecast updated on 11th of July 2014

 

There are stocks like bank stocks that are looking for a double bottom before starting a new uptrend (look at JPM and BAC for instance). They are late.

If you look at the ^TNX (10 year treasury note interest rate) is looking for its double bottom too.

I mean that I wait for a short correction in the next few days before a new great uptrend.

In this case, both European indexes and American ones will behave in the same way once again.

For this reason, I have said that we are close to buying stocks, consistently.

As regards this website, I am about to insert a new paid-subscription service that will deal with the strongest stocks to buy in the American stock market. It will be a new adventure.

Those customers, who subscribe one of the two paid-services soon available in this website, will be able to use the other paid service freely.

I will inform you.

That is all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

 

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  • Fredrick

    Fredrick

    Welcome into Mystocktobuy website.

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    Because this is MY PERSONAL and OBJECTIVE point of view about American stock markets.

    I write useful articles for EVERYBODY who is interested in stock markets.

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  • STRONG STOCKS BOUGHT AND SUGGESTED IN 2014 (FEW DAYS DELAYED)

    Ticker
    % Gain/loss
    Current price
    Buy price
    Buy date
    Sell price
    Sell date
    AFOP 5 / 17.32 21/04/14 18.1 13/05/14
    SPCB -7 9.19 9 27/05/14 8.33 18/07/14
    TRIP 1 99.88 98.5 30/05/14 STILL IN
    FB -3 75.19 65.77 11/06/14 64 09/07/14
    DXCM -4 39.05 37.4 17/06/14 36 09/07/14
    ARWR -10 11.24 15 19/06/14 13.5 26/06/14
    GILD 5 89.84 85.47 02/07/14 STILL IN
    LUV 8 29.24 27.2 02/07/15 STILL IN
    PFPT -12 37.73 39.4 02/07/16 34.65 08/07/14
    AMZN -5 324.01 337.5 07/07/14 320.4 29/07/14

  • MOST UNDERVALUED STOCKS BOUGHT AND SUGGESTED IN 2014 (1 MONTH DELAY)

    Ticker
    % Gain/loss
    Current price
    Buy price
    Buy date
    Sell price
    Sell date
    DO -9 47.8 51.41 25/04/14 46.96 05/06/14
    TFM -14 / 37.41 02/05/14 32 07/05/14
    ADT 2 32.97 32.85 27/05/14 33.48 09/07/14
    MNTA -8 10.8 12.7 28/05/14 11.71 27/06/14
    CTCM -6 9.81 10.61 30/05/14 10 25/07/14
    HERO -13 3.78 4.8 13/06/14 4.18 24/06/14
    CSOD -7 41.53 44.6 19/06/14 41.6 09/07/14
    ANSS -1 77.27 77.75 07/07/14 STILL IN

  • Federico, l have to say that it's very unusual to come across someone that is as open and honest as you are.
    You openly show all your calls including the loses. Such honesty should be rewarded.
    I will continue to follow you and thank you so much for your time and efforts.

    Angela P. (UK)

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Dear Fredrick you are a very serious and reliable person.
    You have always given to me pieces of advice and information that have revealed very valid.
    What distinguishes you is the seriousness and the love that you use in doing all this.
    Thank you.

    Azzurra Z. (IT)

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    I just happened upon your site in the last few days and am satisfied with your attempt to communicate. I will continue to follow until I see a noticeable lack of "something" like sound advice, logical remarks and well put sentences. Should I notice what I feel are these and other short comings, I will attempt to email you at this address and share my concerns. I know you want to be a success at this and I support your endeavors. Be patient. Asking us for input today, that's a good idea.

    Ben W.

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Hello Fredrick,
    I happened to bump into your blog and i must tell you that i'm glad i have. I'm an aspiring trader whom wants to develop a trading method like you have since i dont have the time to daytrade....
    I would appreaciated it if you can give me further explanation and i was also wondering if your willing to take me as your apprentice to teach a good strategy like the one you've acquired. I have experience position trading but i need a good foundation like you have. ...
    Thanks in advanced,

    Harley D.

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Hi Fredrick
    First of all I wanted to thank you for your analysis on the Italian market and the Nasdaq.
    I found your suggestions very helpful and I followed all the signals of the newsletter with great results.
    ...
    Best regards

    Domenico S. (IT)

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Hello Fredrick, some time has passed and I wanted to write to you to thank you warmly for your weekly counseling about markets.
    I want also to congratulate with you for your forecasts that are always accurate and detailed. My regret is that I have not always followed you.
    While I am saying bye to you, I want to espress my best wishes to you for the great work you are used to do in your website.

    Bye and thanks again.

    Andrea Z.

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

  • What is the meaning of my green ribbon? Here is my answer: 1. Green is the color of dollars; 2. Green is a relaxing color, (my trading is a relaxed style because I am a trend follower of the larger cyclical trend); 3. A ribbon is something that joins things in a softer way (i.e. markets are all interconnected); 4. The way I have placed the ribbon at either end of my chart, represents the cyclical and dynamical way in which markets usually develop. 5. The green velvet represents the fact that markets can be seen with safety, but only if every trade is based on objective and measurable data.
  • INTERESTING ARTICLES AND VIDEOS THAT I HAVE ADDED:

    '
    1. An interesting article of cycle theory:

    Walter Bressert cycle theory

    2. Extracts from Gann's books about cycles:

    Gann cycle theory

    3. One video I have recorded about APPLE stock

    Where to buy Apple stock

    4. One video I have recorded about RIMM Nasdaq stock

    RIMM price stock behaviour

  • SOME MORE RESOURCES FOR YOUR TRADING ACTIVITY

    '
    1. The broker I use, very good and cheap:

    Tradeking

    2. The trading software I use to have a professional analysis of the stock market; very good, easy to be programmed and quick:

    Amibroker Trading Software

    3. My book shop. All the books I need to keep on learning and profiting in financial markets:

    My Book Shop

  • Important: 10 questions and 10 answers about stocks

    Read the linked article by clicking on the yellow question mark

    Read the linked article by clicking on the yellow question mark

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    Funny gadjects… Enjoy!
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