The main trend is still upward

Last week I said that a new 15-day cycle was about to start with a new uptrend.

Instead, this new cycle has proved to be very weak.

If you observe the forecast graphic of the S&P 500, you can see that the index has broken down its 18-day simple moving average (red line). This mean that the current 30-day cycle has turned down.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 12th of September 2014

 

I mean that stock markets are facing a period of sideway move, before starting their uptrend until the end of this year again.

In fact, both the NASDAQ and the Italian stock markets keep on confirming this view.

 

NASDAQ stock index forecast updated on 12th of September 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 12th of September 2014

 

I do not see great sell volumes corresponding to this last tops, generally. They are lower than the accumulation volumes of the bottom that took place in August.

In general, American indexes show increasing top and increasing bottoms of prices. The main uptrend stays upward according with the theory of mister Dow Jones.

 

S&P 500 stock index updated on 12th of September 2014

 

I have got interested in the Bombay Stock Exchange, recently. India economy is growing at an annual rate of 5% in 2014. This is very much is compared to American and European growth rates. There are interesting stocks to buy in that market. I have extended my paid service to the Indian market, too.

Besides this, the forecast of the BSE Sensex index can help us to understand better the forecasts of the American indexes. Money flies all around the world.

 

Sensex stock index forecast updated on 12th of September 2014

 

This index is impressive. I will suggest buying some ETFS that deal with it at least in the next weeks.

If this current weakness of indexes lasts, I am very likely to suggest some sell signals for some stocks in the next days.

I think that that’s all for this week.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

 

The current uptrend and the first 15-day cycle

Welcome back into my website.

The first 15-day cycle of this new annual cycle has arrived to its end. A new 15-day cycle is about to start now.

You can see that this cycle has broken up the previous top of the S&P 500. This means that the multi-year trend is still up.

Look at the graphic below.

 

S&P 500 stock index and 15-day cycle updated on 5th of August 2014

 

I have shown many times in the recent past that everything would have performed in this way. I have been right.

If the current data have confirmed my forecasts until know, this means that my forecasts are still reliable for the near future for every market that I keep under observation in my website.

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 5th of August 2014

 

NASDAQ stock index forecast updated on 5th of September 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 5th of September 2014

 

Someone can object that Mario Draghi, the president of ECB, has reduced the interest rate of borrowing money to a minimum level. This could vary something. Do you really think that this was not already discounted by stock markets?

It is so. My forecasts have not been modified in the last 3 months, substantially.

A new annual cycle has just started and it should be up until December at least.

I keep on looking for great stock to buy both for free subscribers and for paid customers.

I think that that’s all for this week.

Keep on following me.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

 

Bad news and monetary policies of central banks

 

There’s a lot of bad news around the world at the moment: wars, clandestine immigration, economic recessions, this is important for most countries, because of bankruptcies and so on.

All these facts generate problems for me when I see them. I do not remember a period as bad as this in my life. This is the worst. I hope it will improve soon.

All these facts would suggest that it is not a wise moment to invest or to trade in stock markets now.

Could this be true?

The truth is that there are only two things that matter when we want to trade stocks for the medium term:

1-      If a company has increasing gross profits that increase its fair value and the price of its stocks;

2-      If Central Banks keep on sustaining the economic growth by printing money.

 

As regards the first aspect, many companies out there have outperformed the stock market in the last few months. I have suggested some of them with low risk, both via free weekly e-mails (GILD for instance) and in my private paid membership area (RFMD for instance).

I am confident that there are always companies whose stocks are worth buying, both in the S&P 500 and in the NASDAQ markets. I need to find them by the means of my new upgraded filter.

As regards the second aspect, new printed money is the only thing that matters and if this money flows both in financial markets and in the real economy.

Click on the following links and you can discover the current monetary policies of the:

 

-          FED: monetary policy;

 

-          ECB: monetary policy.

 

Can you see two different behaviour between the two? Can you imagine what this means for European and American markets?

I think so.

If there is new money to invest and a company has a good balance sheet, the price of its stocks will increase in value. Period.

This is the practical conclusion of my post today.

The previous cited graphics of M1 money allow me to draw the conclucion of a stock index forecast, that I believe is  reliable for the near future.

Here they are:

 

S&P 500 stock index forecast updated on 29th of August 2014

 

NASDAQ stock index forecast updated on 29th of August 2014

 

Italian stock index forecast updated on 29th of August 2014

 

I will send a new free buy signal for a good stock to buy to my newsletter subscribers, in some days.

Let us wait for the expected correction. Then we will discover which are the stock that show strength.

I think that that’s all for this week.

Keep on following me.

Do not forget to share this post with your friends in social media. They will be happy. You can find all the buttons here below.

Kind regards,

Fredrick

 

 

  • Fredrick

    Fredrick

    Welcome into Mystocktobuy website.

    Why Mystocktobuy?

    Because this is MY PERSONAL and OBJECTIVE point of view about American stock markets.

    I write useful articles for EVERYBODY who is interested in stock markets.

  • TRADE IN A SIMPLE WAY... BARGAINS ARE THERE!

    5 KEY POINTS OF MY TACTICS:

    1. SIMPLICITY
    2. PRACTICE
    3. CONCISENESS
    4. FAIRNESS
    5. ONLY THE BEST STOCKS WITH LOW RISK
  • MY PRODUCTS & SERVICES
  • most undervalued stocks buy and sell signals
  • Recent Posts

  • ATTENTION PLEASE…

                ATTENTION PLEASE…
  • WEEKLY E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION
  • THERE ARE THREE BEAUTIFULL GIFTS FOR YOU, IF YOU SUBSCRIBE TO MY WEEKLY NEWSLETTER!!!

    The truth about stocks:how to manage risk without fear
  • MYSTOCKTOBUY E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION
  • Vote for my website!

    How is my website?

    View Results

    Loading ... Loading ...
  • Follow Mystocktobuy in Facebook

    Follow Mystocktobuy in Facebook

    Write to me any question about stocks that you would like I talk about in my website

  • A simple reminder in a post-it …

    A simple reminder in a post-it …
  • STRONG STOCKS FREE ADVISORY 2014 (FEW DAYS DELAYED)

    Ticker
    % Gain/loss
    Current price
    Buy price
    Buy date
    Sell price
    Sell date
    AFOP 5 / 17.32 21/04/14 18.1 13/05/14
    SPCB -7 12.2 9 27/05/14 8.33 18/07/14
    TRIP -4 98.26 98.5 30/05/14 94.5 01/08/14
    FB -3 77.26 65.77 11/06/14 64 09/07/14
    DXCM -4 42.85 37.4 17/06/14 36 09/07/14
    GILD 23 105.36 85.47 02/07/14 STILL IN
    LUV 3 32.83 27.2 02/07/15 28 08/08/14
    PFPT -12 39.01 39.4 02/07/16 34.65 08/07/14
    AMZN -5 346.38 337.5 07/07/14 320.4 29/07/14
    UEIC 2 55.33 54.15 15/08/14 STILL IN
    AMSG -4 51.95 53.9 02/09/14 STILL IN

  • STRONG STOCKS PAID ADVISORY SERVICE 2014 (FEW DAYS DELAYED)

    Ticker
    % Gain/loss
    Current price
    Buy price
    Buy date
    Sell price
    Sell date
    RFMD1312.3110.922/07/14STILL IN
    SWKS356.2854.419/08/14STILL IN
    CDW-431.6632.919/08/1431.705/09/14
    MSFT145.264519/08/14STILL IN
    AAPL-198.9799.619/08/14STILL IN
    SAVE273.271.819/08/14STILL IN
    PFG454.3752.119/08/14STILL IN
    INTC03535.122/08/14STILL IN
    BDSI1416.3314.3826/08/14STILL IN
    NFLX-1472.67478.526/08/14STILL IN
    NDAQ-143.1243.5526/08/14STILL IN
    FNHC225.3924.802/09/14STILL IN
  • MOST UNDERVALUED STOCKS BOUGHT AND SUGGESTED IN 2014 (1 MONTH DELAY)

    Ticker
    % Gain/loss
    Current price
    Buy price
    Buy date
    Sell price
    Sell date
    DO -9 41.33 51.41 25/04/14 46.96 05/06/14
    TFM -14 / 37.41 02/05/14 32 07/05/14
    ADT 2 36.26 32.85 27/05/14 33.48 09/07/14
    MNTA -8 11.26 12.7 28/05/14 11.71 27/06/14
    CTCM -6 9.59 10.61 30/05/14 10 25/07/14
    HERO -13 3.18 4.8 13/06/14 4.18 24/06/14
    CSOD -7 39.96 44.6 19/06/14 41.6 09/07/14
    ANSS 5 81.55 77.75 07/07/14 STILL IN

  • Federico, l have to say that it's very unusual to come across someone that is as open and honest as you are.
    You openly show all your calls including the loses. Such honesty should be rewarded.
    I will continue to follow you and thank you so much for your time and efforts.

    Angela P. (UK)

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Dear Fredrick you are a very serious and reliable person.
    You have always given to me pieces of advice and information that have revealed very valid.
    What distinguishes you is the seriousness and the love that you use in doing all this.
    Thank you.

    Azzurra Z. (IT)

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    I just happened upon your site in the last few days and am satisfied with your attempt to communicate. I will continue to follow until I see a noticeable lack of "something" like sound advice, logical remarks and well put sentences. Should I notice what I feel are these and other short comings, I will attempt to email you at this address and share my concerns. I know you want to be a success at this and I support your endeavors. Be patient. Asking us for input today, that's a good idea.

    Ben W.

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Hello Fredrick,
    I happened to bump into your blog and i must tell you that i'm glad i have. I'm an aspiring trader whom wants to develop a trading method like you have since i dont have the time to daytrade....
    I would appreaciated it if you can give me further explanation and i was also wondering if your willing to take me as your apprentice to teach a good strategy like the one you've acquired. I have experience position trading but i need a good foundation like you have. ...
    Thanks in advanced,

    Harley D.

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Hi Fredrick
    First of all I wanted to thank you for your analysis on the Italian market and the Nasdaq.
    I found your suggestions very helpful and I followed all the signals of the newsletter with great results.
    ...
    Best regards

    Domenico S. (IT)

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

    Hello Fredrick, some time has passed and I wanted to write to you to thank you warmly for your weekly counseling about markets.
    I want also to congratulate with you for your forecasts that are always accurate and detailed. My regret is that I have not always followed you.
    While I am saying bye to you, I want to espress my best wishes to you for the great work you are used to do in your website.

    Bye and thanks again.

    Andrea Z.

    /////////////////////////////////////////////////

  • What is the meaning of my green ribbon? Here is my answer: 1. Green is the color of dollars; 2. Green is a relaxing color, (my trading is a relaxed style because I am a trend follower of the larger cyclical trend); 3. A ribbon is something that joins things in a softer way (i.e. markets are all interconnected); 4. The way I have placed the ribbon at either end of my chart, represents the cyclical and dynamical way in which markets usually develop. 5. The green velvet represents the fact that markets can be seen with safety, but only if every trade is based on objective and measurable data.
  • tag cloud

  • INTERESTING ARTICLES AND VIDEOS THAT I HAVE ADDED:

    '
    1. An interesting article of cycle theory:

    Walter Bressert cycle theory

    2. Extracts from Gann's books about cycles:

    Gann cycle theory

    3. One video I have recorded about APPLE stock

    Where to buy Apple stock

    4. One video I have recorded about RIMM Nasdaq stock

    RIMM price stock behaviour

  • SOME MORE RESOURCES FOR YOUR TRADING ACTIVITY

    '
    1. The broker I use, very good and cheap:

    Tradeking

    2. The trading software I use to have a professional analysis of the stock market; very good, easy to be programmed and quick:

    Amibroker Trading Software

    3. My book shop. All the books I need to keep on learning and profiting in financial markets:

    My Book Shop

  • Important: 10 questions and 10 answers about stocks

    Read the linked article by clicking on the yellow question mark

    Read the linked article by clicking on the yellow question mark

  • Funny gadjects… Enjoy!

    Funny gadjects… Enjoy!
  • DO NOT MISS THIS CHANCE!

    If you subscribe to my website you will be always informed every time I insert a new article and every time there is a good buy stock signal. Welcome on board!
X